The bulk buying paradox
Costco sells 60 million rotisserie chickens per year at $4.99 each. They also sell toilet paper in 30-roll packs that would last a single person three months. The warehouse club model works because bulk pricing creates per-unit savings of 20-40%—but only if you actually use the full quantity before it expires.
The average Costco member spends $136 per trip across 26 annual visits, according to IBISWorld’s Warehouse Club Industry Report. That is $3,536 per year on bulk goods. When two households coordinate purchases—splitting quantities they would otherwise waste or skip entirely—the combined savings exceed $500 annually.
Average annual savings when two households coordinate Costco purchases—splitting bulk quantities they would otherwise waste or not buy at all.
Andrew Geier, Paul Rozin, and Gheorghe Doros at the University of Pennsylvania published a study in Psychological Science (2006) demonstrating that people treat whatever quantity they receive as the “right” amount to consume—a phenomenon they called unit bias. Buy a 36-pack of croissants and you eat more croissants than you would have purchased in a standard 6-pack. The warehouse club exploits this psychology. Splitting with friends lets you capture the per-unit price benefit without the consumption distortion that equal access creates.
Source: Geier, Rozin & Doros, “Unit Bias: A New Heuristic That Helps Explain the Effect of Portion Size on Food Intake,” Psychological Science (2006).